A few people have been asking for some more details about the principal components in the previous post, so strap in for some more graphy goodness. We’ll even dive a bit deeper into the weeds by looking at the third and fourth principal components for each league, taking our level of explained variation just above 50%. Before we begin however, it’s worth raising a few important caveats from discussions I’ve seen.
One sure thing about Blood Bowl is that if you start talking about race classification there will be inevitable debates about which team fits where. After watching yet another of these discussions around the standard bash/dash/hybrid distinction I decided to see if taking a data-driven approach could provide an interesting perspective. To do so, we’ll look at matches from a few different leagues to see if our results are consistent.
Now that the boots are hung up and the blood washed from the uniforms, it’s that time you have all been waiting for. Time to take a look back at the season that was in all its glory. Firstly, congratulations to Mongloom for coming out on top and thanks to all of you for a really enjoyable season. Predictions For those of you wondering how my preseason predictions hold up in comparison with the actual results, the answer is pretty clear:
Since this is a game of dice and silliness, let’s try to predict the season’s results by throwing numbers around and seeing what sticks. Starting from the baseline of each team’s record to date, we will add in some information with a slightly larger sample size by using results from the Champions Ladder Season 2. So for each individual game, we estimate the home win/tie/away win probability by using the weighted average of
With round one nearly over it’s probably a bit late for this, but I thought it might be fun to try a preseason analysis of the division and see if we can come up with some wild guesses about how the season might play out. So, for those of you who can’t be bothered scouting out your opponents, here is a brief look at what everyone brings to the table leading up to season one.